Is China’s Financial Sector Reform the Answer to Economic Globalisation?

Authors

  • Lucia Morales TU Dublin
  • Bernadette Andreosso-O’Callaghan University of Limerick

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.14666/2194-7759-8-2-003

Keywords:

“The Big Four”, Financial Reform, Economic and Policy Uncertainty, Market Models, Dynamic Causality.

Abstract

The Chinese banking system is of interest to the analysts and scholars who seek to understand whether China’s financial reforms are susceptible to contribute to the needed conditions that support fast economic growth and development. Before the Global Financial Crisis, China’s economy was growing rapidly, and the country has now embarked upon a “new normal economic model.” This entails a greater development scope for China’s financial system. “The Big Four” Chinese commercial banks remain under the control and surveillance of the central government, a situation that raises significant criticisms among those who support banking deregulation, liberalisation and efficiency. However, China has shown that it was relatively prepared to manage two major crises – the Asian Economic and Financial Crisis, and the Global Financial Crisis – and that the close monitoring of its financial system should not be too easily dismissed. The main findings from this study highlight that the “Big Four” do not seem to be impacted upon by regional or global uncertainty, but that causal dynamics exist between Chinese top banks and regional market uncertainty, a phenomenon that needs to be carefully considered by policy makers.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Allen, Qian, F., J. and Qian, M. (2007) “China’s Financial System: Past, Present, and Future.” The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, Financial Institutions Center, Working paper Series.

Andreosso-O’Callaghan, B., and J. C. Gottwald (2013) “How red is China’s red capitalism? Continuity and change in China’s financial services sector during the global crisis”, Asia Pacific Business Review, 19: 4, Special Issue ‘Demystifying Chinese Management: Issues and Challenges (2013) pp. 444-60.

Hersh, A. (2014) “Assessing China’s Economic Reform Agenda” (Washington: Center for American Progress, 2014), available at http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/ economy/report/2014/05/01/88864/assessing-chinaseconomic-reform-agenda/

Baker, S., Bloom, N., and Davis, S. J. (2012a). “Measuring economic policy uncertainty.” University of Chicago and Stanford University, www.policyuncertainty.com. Accessed May 29, 2016.

Baker, S. R., Bloom, N., and Davis, S. J. (2012b)” Has economic policy uncertainty hampered the recovery?” In L. E. Ohanian, J. B. Taylor, & I. J. Wright (Eds.), Government policies and the delayed economic recovery (pp. 39–56). Stanford, CA: Hoover Institution Press.

Baker, S.R., Bloom, R.N., and Davis, S.J. (2015) “Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty.” NBER working paper series. 〈http://www.nber.org/papers/w21633〉

Breitung, J., and Candelon, B (2006) “Testing for short-and long-run causality: A frequency-domain approach.” Journal of Econometrics, 132(2):363_378, 2006.

Claessens, S., Demirgüç-Kunt, A. and Huizinga, H. (1998) How Does Foreign Entry Affect the Domestic Banking Market? World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 1918. World Bank, Washington D.C.

Dobson, W., and Kashyap, A. (2006). The Contradiction in China’s Gradualist Banking Reforms. Washington, DC: Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, No. 2.

Dong, Y., Meng, C., Firth, M., and Hou. W. (2014) “Ownership Structure and Risk-Taking: Comparative Evidence from Private and State-Controlled Banks in China.” International Review of Financial Analysis 36: 120–130.

Dorrucci, E., Meyer-Cirkel A., Santabárbara, D. (2009) “Domestic financial development in emerging market economies: evidence and implications.” ECB occasional paper no. 102

Fabre, G. (2013) “The lion’s share: What’s behind China’s economic slowdown?” Paper presented at Se´minaire BRICs. Fondation Maison des Sciences de l’Homme, No.

, Octobre, Paris.

Ferri, G. (2009) “Are New Tigers Supplanting Old Mammoths in China’s Banking System? Evidence from a Sample of City Commercial Banks.” Journal of Banking & Finance 33: 131–140.

Fernald, J., Spiegel, M.M., Swanson, E.T. (2014) “Monetary Policy Effectiveness in China: Evidence from a FAVAR Model.” Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco 2014‐07.

Foo, J., and Witkowska, D. (2014) “An Efficiency Comparison of Chinese Banks: A Multidimensional Analysis.” International Journal of Business 19 (1): 44–62.

Fu, X., and Heffernan, S. (2009) “The Effects of Reform on China’s Bank Structure and Performance.” Journal of Banking & Finance 33 (1): 39–52.

Garcia-Herrero, A., and Santabárbara, D. (2008) “Is the Chinese Banking System Benefiting from Foreign Investors?” BBVA Working papers, No. 0804.

García-Herrero, A., and Santabárbara, D., (2013) “An Assessment of China’s Banking System Reform.” In S., Kaji and E. Ogawa (eds.) Who Will Provide the Next Financial Model? Asia’s Financial Muscle and Europe’s Financial Maturity. Springer, Tokyo. DOI 10.1007/978-4-431-54282-7_15.

Geweke, J. (1982). “Measurement of Linear Dependence and Feedback between Multiple Time Series.” Journal of the American Statistical Association, 77(378): 304-324.

Guonan, M. and McCauley, R. N. (2008) “Efficacy of China’s Capital Controls: Evidence from Price and Flow Data,” Pacific Economic Review 13 (1) (2008): 104–123.

Heffernan, S., and Fu, X. (2008) “The Determinants of Bank Performance in China” Emerging Markets Group Working Papers.

Hosoya, Y. (1991). “The Decomposition and Measurement of the Interdependence between Second-Order Stationary Processes.” Probability Theory and Related Fields, 88: 429-444.

Hou, X., Wang, Q., and Zhang, Q. (2014) “Market Structure, Risk Taking, and the Efficiency of Chinese Commercial Banks.” Emerging Markets Review 20: 75–88.

Hsu, S. (2016) “China’s Banking Sector as the Foundation of Financial Reform”. Asia and the Pacific Policy Studies, Vol. 3 (2), pp. 244-248.

Huang, Y., Wang, X., Wang B., Lin, N. (2013) “Financial Reform in China: Progress and Challenges”. In: Park YC, Patrick H (eds) How Finance is Shaping the Economies of China, Japan, and Korea, pp. 44–142. Columbia Business School Publishing, Columbia University Press, New York.

International Monetary Fund, “Reserve Accumulation and International Monetary Stability” (2010).

Jiang, C., Yao, S., Feng, G. (2013) “Bank Ownership, Privatization, and Performance: Evidence from a Transition Country”. Journal of Banking & Finance 37(9), 3364–3372.

Kobil, R., and Dow, S. C. (2013) “A Review of Banking Sector Reforms in Transition Economies”. Bristol: University of the West of England, Centre for Global Finance, Working Paper Series, No. 3.

Laurenceson, J., and Qin, F. (2008) “Has Minority Foreign Investment in China’s Banks Improved Their Cost Efficiency?” Brisbane: University of Queensland, School of Economics, East Asia Economic Research Group Discussion Paper No 13.

Lin, X., and Zhang, Y. (2009) “Bank Ownership Reform and Bank Performance in China.” Journal of Banking & Finance 33(1): 1000–1010.

Lingling, W., and Davis, B. (2013) “IMF Urges Cautious China Capital Moves,” The Wall Street Journal, July 17, 2013, available at http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB300 01424127887324263404578611480166001050.

Lu, Y., Guo, H., Kao, E., and Fung, H-G. (2015) “Shadow banking and Firm financing in China”. International Review of Economics and Finance, 36, pp. 40-53.

Martin, M.F. (2012) “China’s Banking System: Issues for Congress”. Congress Research Service, Washington, DC.

Min, Z., Weidong, C., Jingtong, Z., Xinzhe, G., and Qiyue, X. (2018) “The development of China’s financial system: a global perspective.” China Economic Journal, Vol 11(1) pp. 25-43.

Nazmi, N. (2006) “Financial Sector Reform and Economic Growth in China”. In Chen and Yao (eds.) Globalization, Competition and Growth in China, pp. 56-76. Routledge Taylor and Francis Group, London and New York.

Paulet, E., and Relano, F. (2018) “Chinese banking reforms in perspective: towards global alignment or national specificity?” Asia Pacific Business Review, Vol. 24 (3), pp. 294-311.

Dobbs, R., Leung, N., and Lund, S. (2013) “China’s rising stature in global finance,” McKinsey Quarterly, July 2013, available at http://www.mckinsey.com/insights/ winning_in_emerging_markets/chinas_rising_stature_in_global_finance.

Shen, C. H., C. Lu, H. and Wu, M. W. (2009) “Impact of Foreign Bank Entry on the Performance of Chinese Banks.” China & World Economy 17 (3): 102–121.

Tan, Y. (2014) “Performance, Risk and Competition in the Chinese Banking Industry.” Oxford: Chandos Publishing.

Wong, Y. C. R. and Wong M. L. S. (2001) “Competition in China’s domestic banking industry,” Cato Journal 21, 19–41.

Xu, B., and Hu, H. (2013) “The Impact of Government Ownership on Performance: Evidence from Major Chinese Banks.” Master Thesis of Science in Finance, Simon Fraser University.

Yao, S., Jiang, C., Feng, G., and Willenbockel, D. (2006) “WTO challenges and efficiency of Chinese banks”. In Chen and Yao (eds.) Globalization, Competition and Growth in China, pp. 56-76. Routledge Taylor and Francis Group, London and New York.

Zhang, X., and Daly, K. (2011) “China’s Banks Ownership and Performance.” http://ssrn.com/abstract=1914894.

Published

2020-03-14

How to Cite

Morales, L., & Andreosso-O’Callaghan, B. (2020). Is China’s Financial Sector Reform the Answer to Economic Globalisation?. Journal Global Policy and Governance, 8(2), 43-70. https://doi.org/10.14666/2194-7759-8-2-003